Thursday, March 30, 2023

Tumult and Tremors

  


                                                                                Knesset Protest Monday, March 27, 2023


The Week That Was


The protests continued. An estimate of over 650,000 anti-Judicial Reform protesters gathered around the country on Saturday night March 18th. More pilots and soldiers announced they would boycott their reserve duty. 44 protesters were arrested Saturday night as they blocked the Ayalon highway that cuts through central Tel Aviv. The momentum was building for something serious to happen.

Bret Stephens, writing in the Wall Street Journal, saw an upside to the demonstrations. “There have been no reports of serious property damage or physical injury, much less death. The government and its allies have tried to dismiss the demonstrators as ‘leftists.’ It’s a preposterous claim when critics of the judicial reforms include the right-wing former prime minister Naftali Bennett and a dozen former National Security Council chiefs, such as the former Mossad chief Yossi Cohen and others who served directly under Netanyahu.

In other words, this was a revolt of the political center against the fringe — showing that the former is far more vital and energized than it is elsewhere in the democratic world.”

There had been murmurs, mostly optimistic ones, that some of those in the Netanyahu coalition were in favor of calling a halt to the Judicial Reforms, as more and more voices of respected leaders from around the world in finance, the judiciary, and the military, were heard. But the leaders of the Judicial Reforms, Justice Minister Yariv Levin and Law committee chairman SImcha Rothman, remained steadfast in their refusal to halt the march to reforms stating unequivocally that the laws would be voted on and passed during the week.

According to the Times of Israel, Likud MK Yuli Edelstein, who missed the vote on a part of a contentious bill said, “I didn’t miss the vote by chance.” He said he’s not certain how he would vote in the future. “Protesters don’t affect me. What does is the most sensitive army units affected by the situation.” 

Other Likud members like David Biton, Avi Dichter and Defense Minister Gen (Res.) Yoav Gallant hinted they were against the rush to the reforms. But the ruling Coalition whip Ofir Katz said that those who don’t vote in favor of the judicial overhaul “have ended their careers in the Likud,” referring to Gallant and other dissidents. 

The strident pronouncements of Levin and Rothman only helped to enrage those seeking a discussion on the Judicial Reforms before they were rushed into law. More than a few of the opposition leaders, like Yair Lapid and Gen. (Res.) Benny Gantz, echoed Israel’s President Yitzhak ‘Bogie’ Herzog’s warning that Israel was heading into a civil war.

Ynetnews analyst Yossi Yehoshua wrote, “Even compulsory service soldiers are now affected by the situation.”

The tension in the country was palpable. Right-wing counter protesters arrived to confront the anti-government protesters. A flurry of punches between the sides ensued in some cities.

 


                                                                                    Defense Minister Yoav Gallant (center)


The Defense Minister Calls for a Pause in the Judicial Overhaul


Then the fissures in the coalition turned into a crack heard around the world. Gen (Res.) Yoav Gallant, Israel’s Defense Minister, went on TV and called for a halt to the Judicial Reforms until discussions were held by both sides. Gallant had been prepared to make this announcement last Thursday but had been called into Netanyahu’s Jerusalem office and told to wait. Netanyahu reportedly promised movement in compromise talks. But then Netanyahu flew off for the weekend to London, the third weekend in a row that he’d left town. Some observers said this was to avoid the mass demonstrations. 

By Saturday no progress was made or even attempted said some analysts. That was it for Gallant who went on TV and made a short speech saying he knew he was going to pay a price for what he was about to say but in this time of crisis with enemies on the borders and with the army in disarray he had no choice but to call for a halt to the Judicial Reform process until after the upcoming Passover holiday, Israel’s Memorial Day, and then Israel’s Independence Day.

Some protesters saw Gallant’s speech as a sign that the race for Judicial Reforms was going to be halted. They left the protest and headed home. Others, less optimistic, stayed and waved flags and yelled ‘democracy.’ Some drifted down to the Ayalon highway that cuts through Tel Aviv.

Analysts had a field day with this, speculating that Gallant was only one of many in the Likud who were against the rush towards Judicial Reforms. On Kan Reshet Bet radio’s Kalman-Leiberman morning talk show, Leiberman asked if Gallant would now be fired? He said that “Several MK’s (members of Knesset) backed Gallant’s call to pause the judicial overhaul, while others called on Netanyahu to fire Gallant.”

The Times of Israel’s editor David Horowitz wrote, “With dire public warning, Gallant tries to compel Netanyahu to put state before self.”

Protesters went public calling for a “Week of Paralysis,” until the reforms were halted.

The Washington Post wrote, “Netanyahu’s political touch eludes him as Israel spirals into Chaos.”  The New York Times wrote, “Israel Defense Minister says the government should halt contentious judicial plan…Yoav Gallant broke with Benjamin Netanyahu over the Prime Minister’s planned Judicial Overhaul saying the resulting unrest threatened military readiness.”

Israel’s Chief-of-Staff HaLevi said, according to the Times of Israel, “IDF (Israel Defense Forces) now have a dual mission of ensuring security and keeping the military united.”

But Yair Netanyahu, the Prime Minister’s son and considered one of his closest advisers, said “Gallant is destroying democracy. National Security Minister, ultra-nationalist Itamar Ben-Gvir said, “We won’t give up and turn the government over to anarchists.” Ben Gvir hinted that he would leave the government, calling it to fall and resulting in new elections, if the reforms were paused.

There was also speculation that a no-confidence motion would be called and the government would fall. That Netanyahu now had a choice between supporting Justice Minister Levin, who had threatened to quit if the reforms were halted, or supporting Gallant. Should Levin resign the government might fall. Should a no- confidence motion be called the government might fall. Should that happen Netanyahu would not be able to pass the laws that would keep him out of jail should he be convicted of one of the three indictments he faced.

Netanyahu Fires Gallant

Netanyahu choose Levin. When Netanyahu returned from London on Sunday he went on the air and choose to fire Gallant.  The uproar was immediate.  Thousands poured onto the streets to protest. Netanyahu said  that he fired Gallant because Gallant could not control the soldiers who refused to do their army service. The media speculated that Netanyahu might next fire the Chief-of-Staff and then the heads of the Mossad and the Shin Bet (Israel’s FBI). Pundits saw this as a dictatorship unfolding before their eyes.

However, Yearyah Shapira of Kan channel 1 TV said, “Netanyahu fired Gallant in favor of Levin and now sees that was a mistake that needs to be corrected. Other analysts said Netanyahu was now looking for a way out of the crisis.

Shaul Amsterdamski, economic affairs reporter for Kan TV, said that the firing of Gallant was historic. Like dropping an atom bomb. Or like the Covid pandemic. He said this was a very dire and serious situation. “He is not connected to (what is--take out )the reality of the situation. He saw hundreds of thousands turn out in the streets and just fired the Defense Minister.” Amsterdamski said, ‘Nothing as critical as this has happened since the foundation of the State…whoever is influencing him is giving him the wrong advice.”  

Tamir Pardo, former head of the Mossad, went on TV and said that Netanyahu had lost his way and must resign. Jacki, a hairstylist in Jerusalem said that Netanyahu should be arrested.

According to Amnon Abramovich speaking on Channel 12 TV news, “People who have met Netanyahu in the last few months say he is distracted, distanced, not involved. Those involved are his son Yair and (Justice Minister) Yariv Levin. 

Also, on Thursday, it was announced the court had found Yair Netanyahu guilty of defamation of character and fined him $37,000, including fines, damages, and court costs for defaming former Knesset Member Stav Shafrir in 2020 on his Twitter account. This was not the first time the young Netanyahu had been sued for defamation of character.  Some say Netanyahu Jr. is being groomed by his father to take over the Likud.

Prof. Avraham Diskin, founder of Kohelet, a right-wing think tank,  that was one of the architects of the Judicial Overhaul, told Kan TV he was worried about the collapse of democracy. “We have gone beyond the edge of a democratic collapse.”

Sunday night after Gallant was fired protestors poured into the streets. Thousands blocked the highway for 9 hours. The police stayed back. The protesters were allowed to camp out on the highway until 07:30 am, just before the rush hour began. Then the police moved in and cleared the highway. 




                                                                     Arnon Bar David, Head of the Histadrut 


The Strike


Then came Monday morning. Arnon Bar David, head of the powerful Histadrut workers union, called a press conference. He announced a general strike until the coalition agreed to halt the judicial overhaul. He also called for the reinstatement of Gallant. Sitting on the podium with Bar David were the heads of Israel’s five major banks, as well as a few heads of Israel’s high-tech companies.

The media reported that this was the first time the Histadrut and the business sector were united in calling a strike.  Then came Pinchas Idan, leader of the Israel airports workers union and a Likud member, who took the microphone and called for a shutdown of Israel’s airports, stranding thousands of passengers and cancelling scores of flights.

Some shopping malls announced they were closing. The universities, including the Ariel college on the West Bank, said they were clogging. ???? closing?

The tension was palpable.

MK Nachman Shai, of the opposition Labor Party said of the strike, “The economic effect is tremendous. And it is happening now, the week before Passover when the public is filling the stores buying and shopping. And next week the travel begins for those going on holiday during passover.”

Michael Shemesh, political reporter for Kan TV, said that PM Netanyahu and his wife Sara both reached out to Histadrut head Bar David asking him to call the strike in order to pressure his own government to work towards broad agreement on Judicial Reform. Last week Sara Netanyahu issued a call for both sides to “calm the waters and work together for a broad agreement among the people of Israel.”

Pinchas Idan, head of the Airport Workers Union, told the Israel HaYom daily on Thursday that Histadrut head Bar David told him that “we will hold a press conference, and an hour later the Prime Minister will announce he is stopping the legislation and the mess will be over.” Both the Prime Minister’s office and the Histadrut denied they had coordinated the strike.

At 10:00 in the morning the media started to announce that Netanyahu was going to make a statement. Then the announcement was pushed off until 10:30. Then later. And later still.

The country went into a panic. Sides were drawn. 

The right-wing leaders called on their followers to turn up at the Knesset and in Tel Aviv and around the country for a counter demonstration. They maintained that they’d won the election, received 64 seats and their voice should be heard. They were not to be ignored.  Violence was expected. Three demonstrators were arrested in their car on the way to the counter-demonstration. They were armed with a gun and knives.

The Constitution That Isn’t

Now, a word about why Israel doesn’t have a constitution. When the state was established in 1948 David Ben Gurion, the first Prime Minister, felt that only a fraction of the Jewish people had so far immigrated to Israel and a constitution should only be drawn up when the mass of people had assembled and could adequately discuss the laws.

More practical analysts say that Ben Gurion faced a fractured citizenry, split between religious and secular, right and left, socialist Kibbutzniks, some Stalinists, and West leaning capitalists. The divides were so great that Ben Gurion thought that with the Arab armies ready to pounce, and pounce they did, and have continued to pounce, there were more pressing matters than to divide the country that would fight over the constitution and perhaps break apart. Thus, more power was given to the high court until a constitution could be finally drawn up. It never was. 

According to Michael Star, writing in the Jerusalem Post, “Israel was supposed to have a constitution. It was in the United Nations resolution 181 and in the Declaration of Independence…” In the article, Star quoted Prof Yaniv Roznai, co-director of Reichman University’s Rubinstein Center for Constitutional Challenges, who wrote. “… elections for a constitutional assembly took place in January 1949. However, the constitutional assembly, once it was assembled, received the authority not only to draft the constitution but also to be the ordinary legislator, to enact ordinary laws.”

In the article Star wrote “Prof. Eyal Gross of Tel Aviv University’s Faculty of Law noted, Israel was built on the legacy of English common law and the British system. There was a feeling among some that a constitution wasn’t necessary when Israel was already a democracy; the United Kingdom didn’t have a written constitution, so it was questioned why it was necessary for the nascent state.  To complicate matters further, Gross wrote that “Religious parties argued that the Jewish people already has a constitution, the Torah.”

Roznai wrote, quoting Gross: “From 1958 to 1992 Basic Laws were introduced. “dealing with structure of government like the [Basic Law:] Prime Minister, The Government, the Knesset itself, The President, The Budget, etc….They made two mistakes. First, they didn’t say anything about the deadline. By when do we have to finish this constitution-making process?” said Roznai. “And second, they didn’t decide what is the constitutional status, the legal status, of the Basic Laws until the completion of this process.”

Roznai added, “The Court also gained the power to strike down administrative decisions, if it was determined that they contradicted the ‘reasonableness’ clause, that a government act was beyond the scope of a reasonable and responsible authority.” However, Roznai contended that the Court by nature had been very restrained in using these powers, only striking down a small percentage of government actions and largely on noncritical matters.

“What we are seeing now is part of the backlash to that because a lot of the people now would say the Israeli Supreme Court became too active,” said Roznai.

Gary Rosenblatt, former editor of the Jewish Week, wrote in his blog that the outline for a constitution had been drawn up after a three-year research period by Professor  Ruth Gavison and Rabbi Yaacov Medan. “Ruth Gavison, a recipient of the Israel Prize, was a distinguished Hebrew University professor of law, and an avowedly secular expert on, and fierce advocate for, human rights. Rav Yaakov Medan, who fought on the Golan in the Yom Kippur War, is a Rosh Yeshiva of Yeshivat Har Etzion in the settlement of Gush Etzion, and a leader in the Religious Zionist movement. 

“The two spent nearly four years working together and published a detailed document in 2003 of more than 100 pages, in Hebrew and English…, that was met with quite a bit of enthusiasm among some scholars, but no legislation based on the covenant has ever been passed in the Knesset.”

And Then the Pause

The Judicial Reforms are meant to bring the power back to the people, according to Justice Minister Levin. A contention that Roznai doesn’t support.  

“If elections were held today Prime Minister Netanyahu’s coalition would fail to be elected.” This according to two TV polls published this week, one by Kan Channel 1, a state-sponsored station, and Channel 12, a commercial station.

Netanyahu’s Likud party dropped from 32 seats in the current Knesset to 25 in the latest polls. Netanyahu had a 68% negative rating among those polled.  The opposition parties would garner at least 61 seats to the Likud’s 57, when at least 61 were needed to become the ruling coalition.

Netanyahu’s drop in popularity was also found among Likud voters.

Netanyahu finally made his appearance Monday night during the prime time news at 8:00 PM. He declared a pause in the rush to Judicial Reforms until July. The strike was called off.

The country breathed a sigh of relief.

Yair Lapid, one of the opposition leaders, said, “We will go to the President and talk to find solutions. But we need a real dialogue conducive to solve problems.” Then he warned, “If Netanyahu thinks he can trick us he’ll find the hundreds of thousands in the streets. If he comes with earnest intention he’ll find willing partners.”

Benny Gantz (National Union) said  “Better late than never to pause the reforms. We’ll sit and talk. We are all one people. Both sides have the flag in their hands. We are all one people.”

Avigdor Leiberman (Israel Home) who was fired as Netanyahu’s Defense Minister in a previous government, said that Netanyahu could not be trusted.

Even US President Joe Biden come out with a warning to Netanyahu that he must conduct serious negotiations and .that the situation was worrisome. Not good English.

Teams from both sides were selected and met the following morning at President Yitzhak Herzog’s residence. But already there was a conflict. 

 


                                     Right-wing pro Judiciary Reform protestors in Tel Aviv, March 30, 2023


Judiciary Committee chairman Simcha Rothman had tabled a bill to fast-track the reforms with the Knesset. All that was needed now was a call to vote. Lapid said this was negotiations with a gun to their head.

Meanwhile the meetings continued. One contentious law, that allowed Knesset members and cabinet ministers to accept gifts and donations for campaigns and legal defense, that was to be presented to presented to the Knesset for a vote, was not brought up. That meant that Netanyahu’s cousin’s donation of $270,000 for his legal defense, that was ruled illegal by the High Court, was not going to be voted upon. Netanyahu has been indicted for corruption, bribery and breach of trust. 

However, a bill that allowed search without a warrant of a home suspected of having weapons was passed. Netanyahu had voted against a similar bill during a previous government. The current bill was supported by National Security Minister Ben Gvir.   

Another bill to be voted upon next week and that frightens many Israelis,will allow Ben Gvir to have his own militia of 2,000 officers, will be voted upon next week.

Former police chief Moshe Karada said that this militia would be a private police force under Ben Gvir’s command and should not be permitted.

Counter Demonstrations

On Thursday night, March 30th, approximately 25,000- 30,000 pro-reform protesters turned out in Tel Aviv. The police allowed them to go onto the Ayalon highway and shut down traffic. Earlier, right wing social media posted threats of violence to opposition demonstrators and journalists.

Forward Cautiously

Even as pro-reform protesters blocked roads to kibbutzim in the north of Israel and took to the streets to protest around the country, the negotiating teams carried on with their work in the President’s residence. Time will tell if they reach any positive conclusion. Or if the situation deteriorates with the opposing forces meeting on the streets and not around a negotiating table. And if Yoav Gallant sends an “I’m sorry” letter to Netanyahu so he can remain Defense Minister.

Science

In groundbreaking research, Tel Aviv U scientists have discovered clicking sounds in plants which humans can’t hear and which differ based on species and type of stress; the scientists wonder what uses other plants, animals make of the information.

Thursday, March 23, 2023

Where To Go From Here?

Baruch fixes car windows.  His artisan workshop is in the industrial area of Givat Shaul in Jerusalem on a short narrow alley where he does most of the work, “except when it’s raining,” he said.  Inside the wide but shallow garage space the floor is covered with car doors and windows and bins with odd parts. The shelves are lines with other parts each clearly marked.

Baruch is in his early sixties, medium height with a stocky build and thinning hair showing more scalp than he probably likes. A few garages down from Baruch’s is a car mechanic where a photo of Avi Maoz, leader of the ultra-nationalist Noam party hangs.  Maoz has been outspoken about what he considers divisive left-wing propaganda, such as LGBTQ+ issues and feminism. His Noam party is in Prime Minister Netanyahu’s coalition. 

 One sees the photo of Maoz and figured that Baruch, essentially a blue-collar worker like the majority of those who support Netanyahu’s Likud party, would be pro Netanyahu. When asked his opinion of the current crises and demonstrations in the street he said, “One day they’ll all be rounded up and put in a cage just like what happened to Mubarak in Egypt.” You mean the protesters? he was asked. “No, Netanyahu and his crowd. All of them. Jail is where they’re headed.” 

 The answer was a surprise coming from Baruch. However, another tradesman pointed out that ultimately the High Court would strike down the government’s controversial Judicial Reforms. Then the police would have to decide who to follow, the court of law or the government. This tradesman was convinced that the police would follow the rule of law and ignore any and all laws struck down by the High Court. 

According to reports in the media, the crises would come when and if the government passes the most controversial of the Judicial Reforms, the one which would allow the Knesset to fire all those on the present High Court and appoint new ones that agreed with the coalition’s views. Then the police and army and the public at large would have to choose who to follow, the present High Court, or the one appointed by the coalition. 

                                                                     Protests, March 2023 

 Disobeying the Judicial Reforms would be a “red line not to be crossed,” said 
Justice Minister Yariv Levin, who is one of the driving forces behind Judicial Reform. But, said one observer, that red line may be easy to cross and face little or no retribution from the government. 

 Army Reserves 

 On Wednesday March 22, 2023, Herzi HaLevi, the Chief of Staff of the Israeli Army, warned Prime Minister Netanyahu that there was a deepening crises within the Israeli Army that would only be exacerbated if the reforms were approved. 

One observer points out that more and more “volunteer” IDF reserve soldiers have refused to show up for duty. These volunteers are soldiers, officers, pilots and commandos who have served their normal time in the army and have volunteered to stay on and continuing doing reserve duty. 

The problem is, according to one pilot still serving full-time in the regular army, is that nearly two-thirds of all combat pilots are either in the reserves and volunteers.  Defense Minister Gen. (Res) Yoav Galant has said that should the trend to not show up for reserve duty continue he may have no choice but to resign his position. 

Speaking to Ynetnews, Ayal Naveh, one of the leaders of the reservist resistance, said, “You have to distinguish between those legally obliged to serve and those voluntarily serving. We are calling on the volunteers to not show up for duty if the Judicial Reforms pass, not those in the regular army who are obligated to serve…Israel is in our blood,” said Naveh. “We’re talking about civil war over the fate of our country.” 

Reserve soldiers spokesman Lt. Col. (Res) Ron Scherf said if the Judicial Reforms go through more soldiers will refuse to show up for duty, putting Israel’s defense structure at risk. He said that “a people’s army only exists in a democracy.” 

Gen. (Res.) Moshe ‘Bogie” Ayalon, Former Defense Minister and former Chief of Staff said, “We’re in a tragic situation that I hope will be resolved in a few weeks. This government in three months has caused severe economic, military and international (diplomatic) damage. This is not a legitimate government and the citizens aren’t behind it…Israel will become a dictatorship as soon as these new laws are passed. Even Washington is hearing the voices of protest.” 

U.S. President Joe Biden reportedly called Israel’s Prime Minister Netanyahu and strongly expressed his displeasure with the way the new government was behaving. One report was that the US would begin to pull back support for Israel. 

Meanwhile, according to Channel 13 news military correspondent Alon Ben-David Israel’s enemies are smiling. Hamas leader Hassan Nasrallah has said that we are now witnessing Israel’s demise. Ben David said that there are now serious threats in the West Bank, on the Lebanese border, on the Gaza Border, and from enemies like Iran. 

 Diplomacy of Sorts 

To make matters worse, says one critic, there was Israel’s Transportation Minister Miri Regev who recently visited the UAE city of Dubai, one of the signatories to the Abraham Accords that brought a semblance of normalization between Israel and some Arab neighbors.  

After leaving Dubai she said at a conference on Wednesday,“I’ve been to Dubai. I won’t be going back. I don’t like the place,” She later walked back her remarks saying she was joking and the media twisted her words. 

This follows a recent visit by head of the ultra-nationalist Jewish Home party, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, who told a group at a CitiBank talk in New York that there was no such thing as a Palestinian people.” This roiled the Arab communities in Israel and around the world. 

A Few New Laws

The Knesset voted on a bill rolling back the “disengagement” law, that was, according to Ha’aretz, actually an amendment that would allow Israeli settlers to return to areas of the West Bank evacuated in 2005 as part of then-Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's disengagement plans.” Some saw this as a quasi annexation of the West Bank. Following the vote there was also a move to resettle the outpost of Homesh in the northern West Bank. One observer said Finance Minister Smotrich and his partners were smiling like cats let into the chicken-coop. 

National missions minister Orit Strock, of the ultra-nationalist Religious Zionism party, led by Smotrich, said that next on the agenda was retaking Gaza. Israel had a string of settlements along the Gaza strip until 2005 when there was the unilateral withdrawal under then Prime Minister Sharon. 

After protests against the disengagement law were heard from many sources including the USA, Mike Herzog, Israel’s ambassador to the USA, was called in for consultations with deputy Sec. of State Wendy Sherman to explain why the  disengagement bill passed.  

Shortly after Ambassador Herzog’s meeting with deputy Sec. of State Sherman, Prime Minister Netanyahu said no resettlement of the controversial hilltop of Homesh would be allowed. Still, reportedly, settlers had snuck back into the hilltop and begun to rebuild the makeshift homes there. 

                           Knesset vote March 23,2022. (L to R) MK Kish, PM Netanyahu, JM Levin, Ben Gvir 

Other laws the Knesset has passed was one over-riding the High Court’s decision to exclude PM Netanyahu from anything to do with the Judicial Reforms discussion.  Or to deny him staying as Prime Minister unless he was declared incompetent mentally or physically. According to Baruch Kara, judicial correspondent for Channel 13 news, the wording of the new law, a change in the ‘basic law’ of the state, was such that the High Court would probably not strike it down. 

There are also bills expected to pass that will allow convicted felon Aryeh Deri to regain a position on Israel’s cabinet, another to keep non Passover kosher goods out of hospitals, and one to ban Christian missionary work in Israel. 

 Financial Advice 

 Senior finance ministry officials in Israel warned Finance Minister Smotrich that the “Judicial overhaul” could cause “very significant harm” to the economy even affecting Moody’s current A+ rating of Israel. 

As of now, according to the TimesofIsrael, the tech industry accounts for 17% of Israel’s GDP and 50% of all exports, 21% of payroll taxes. And a capital investment in 2022 that was over $12 billion.  

The CEO’s of five of Israel’s banks have told the PM Netanyahu to stop the overhaul immediately. “You’ll turn Israel into a dictatorship,” they warned. Even Amir Yaron, Governor of the Bank of Israel, was concerned. He met with Israel’s Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara to discuss the Judicial Reforms.  

Yaron told CNN last week that the overhaul was “hasty.” He said it was important to stop companies from directing investments away from the Israeli market as several companies have said they plan to do. 

According to Ha’aretz, Legal experts believe the high court will strike down the coup even as Israel’s Justice Minister Levin vows to defy the High Court’s dismissal of key Judicial Reform laws. “Israel’s insane government faces crises on all fronts.”  

Minister for Diaspora Affairs (Likud) Amichai Shikli has said that he hopes the High Court won’t cancel the Judicial Reforms. “It would be the end of democracy in Israel.” Other supporters of the reforms have said that should the High Court overrule the Knesset’s Judicial Reforms that would be in itself a ‘coup.’ 

 Guns on the Table  

 

                                                                               Yair Lapid, opposition leader 

As hundreds of thousands of people protested around the country, opposition leader Yair Lapid (Yesh Atid) tweeted on Thursday,”That’s it. The masks are off. The gun is on the table…The real prime minister, Yariv Levin, is drawing us into total chaos and a constitutional crisis we won’t be able to come back from. If the Justice Minister is calling on the government not to obey the law, why should the citizens of Israel obey the government?” 

One analyst wrote that with half-a-million protesters in the streets, including army reservists in uniform, blocking highways and ports; with a brain drain, castigation by governments and leaders and even staunch friends of Israel: none of these things seem to penetrate Netanyahu’s thought process. He, Levin and Rothman (head of the Knesset Judiciary committee) are racing full speed ahead to pass these Judicial Reforms. What are they thinking? asked the analyst. Don’t they see bloodshed and a possible collapse of the state ahead? 

There was a brief  ray of hope, however. According to Ynet’s highly-respected veteran reporter Nachum Barnea, on Thursday Defense Minister Yoav Galant told the Prime Minister to suspend the advancement of a bill that reshuffles the powerful judge selection committee in the governing coalitions favor. Galant said he’d spoken to the Prime Minister who agreed, but said that Justice Minister Levine was against the move. 

In a surprising turn of events on Thursday Sara Netanyahu, wife of the Prime Minister also called for ‘dialogue, unity and compromise. This as police used water cannons and mounted officers to clear a Tel Aviv highway that had been blocked for more than two hours. By the end of the day over 100 protesters had been arrested around the country. 

Viewers expectantly waited for Defense Minister Yoav Galant to announce a breakthrough, a halt to the Judicial Reforms. His televised speech was to be made in Tel Aviv at 19:30.  But then the ray of hope began to dim. The news announced Galant was called to Netanyahu’s Jerusalem office to discuss the subject of his press conference. Netanyahu had already notified the television of his own speech to be made an hour after Galant. 

Pundits speculated on what Galant would say and what Netanyahu would say. Would Galant call buck the trend in his Likud party and bravely call for halt to the Judicial Reforms? Would Netanyahu agree with Galant? Raviv Drucker of Channel 13 news said he doubted Netanyahu would stop the Judicial Reforms. Another commentator said that Justice Minister Yariv Levine had threatened to quit his job and bring down the government, and put Netanyahu out of a job, if the Judicial Reforms were halted. 

Then came the announcement that Defense Minister Galant would not speak at all, only the Prime Minister. Netanyahu came on TV and never mentioned halting the Judicial Reforms, and only made passing reference to the security situation. Raviv Drucker later said he was “disappointed” in Netanyahu’s speech. According to Drucker, Netanyahu said nothing new. Only the same old epithets many of which were untrue. 

Moshe ‘Boogie’ Ayalon, sitting on the panel in the Channel 13 studios said, “Netanyahu doesn’t care about anything but himself. Not the country. Not the economy. Not security. Only himself.” 

After his speech the pundits knew that Netanyahu would do nothing but keep pushing the Judicial Reforms until he’d passed the one that allowed him to control the High Court. Then he could have the Knesset dismiss any High Court ruling he disagreed with especially one against him, should Netanyahu be convicted of one of the three indictments, for corruption, fraud and breach of trust, he faced.

The only positive sign, so far, is the lack of government supporters counter-protesting. Only a few show up here and there. “Given that situation, the civil war would be over before it starts,” said one observer. And maybe, as Baruch the window repairman predicts, Netanyahu, Levin, Rothman and others will indeed wind up in cages just like Mubarak. The question still is: Democracy of dictatorship. Where does Israel go from here? 

 Medicine 

Israeli researchers have done groundbreaking research in the treatment of pancreatic cancer according to a paper published in the prestigious Nature science-oriented journal. Prof. Rotem Karni’s Hebrew University’s Faculty of Medicine’s research team, led by doctoral student Amina Jabara, found that a central protein that controls RNA processing, called RBFOX2, can be reintroduced to metastatic cells inhibiting the formation of metastases. 

Travel 

Israel’s Foreign Minister Eli Cohen visited Poland and announced he and his Polish counterpart Zbigniew Rau had signed an agreement that would allow Israeli youth groups to again begin visiting Poland. The two countries had a disagreement over the Holocaust and Poland’s role in it. In 2018 Poland passed a Holocaust speech law that made it illegal to blame Poland as a nation for the Holocaust. A law that has not really ever been applied in practice.

Tuesday, March 14, 2023

Locke Or Hobbes

Demonstrations

“Would Mussolini, the Italian fascist dictator, have cared about protests in the streets?” asked one pundit? “Did Ali Khamenei, Supreme Leader of Iran, care about the millions in the street protesting his government? The major difference here is that the army and police have not resorted to violence and gunfire to quell the protests.”


Another pundit said, “Contrary to some who say Netanyahu is too weak to control his party and stop the head-long rush to Judicial Reforms, rather he is the evil Wizard of Oz, pulling the strings and levers and sending out a smokescreen from behind the curtain.”


Some analysts posit that the current government and their supporters see those demonstrating simply as those who voted against the present government. The chorus of international heavy weights, said one observer, mean very little to to the coalitions’ supporters or to PM Netanyahu. 

Ben Bernake, former head of the US Fed, Michael Bloomberg, billionaire former mayor of New York, even Miriam Adelson, widow of the late billionaire Sheldon Adelson, have come out against the Judicial Reforms. Lawrence Sommers, once an economic advisor to the US government, has said the Judicial Reforms lead Israel to the edge of an abyss. But none of these entreaties , from economists, jurists, diplomats and top former security officials, seem to have any effect.  


PM Benjamin Netanyahu in the Knesset after Judicial Reforms pass first reading.


Judicial Reforms Pass First Reading

On Monday, March 13, 2023, some of the key Judicial Reforms passed their first of three readings before the reforms become law. Among them, according to Ynetnews, was the law overriding the Attorney General’s decision that Prime Minister Netanyahu, under indictment for three felonies for corruption, must recuse himself from voting on the reforms as him voting would be a conflict of interest. Should this pass the third and final Knesset vote Netanyahu can then come out of the shadows and become the face of the Judicial Reforms. 


On Tuesday, Likud stalwart David Amsalem brought up a bill, the so-called French Law, that would would essentially block the prosecution of a serving Prime Minister, like Netanyahu, at least until he was out of the Prime Minister’s office.


According to the TimesofIsrael, one of they bills would “make it possible to imbue laws with preemptive immunity against judicial review.” This would allow the Knesset to overrule the High Court or any court.  “The legislation grants immunity from High Court review to laws …that come into conflict with Israel’s quasi-constitutional Basic Laws.” This ‘override law’ takes effect if only 61 knesset members vote in favor.  And any law the High Court justices strike down could simply be re-legislated with the addition of the immunity clause.


This law was brought before the Knesset special committee and passed by a majority of nine to six, moving it to a vote in the Knesset. At the committee meeting chairman Ofir Katz said “Democracy is preserved, no legal entity in Israel will be allowed to stage a coup d’erat.” To that MK Efrat Raiten of Labor said, “You are destroying democracy.”


The laws, if passed into law on the third reading, would go into immediate effect, and extend one year into the next Knesset, which can extend the law indefinitely. Other reforms include laws to give the government appointed panel absolute control over the selection of judges. The Netanyahu government expects to enact all of these sweeping reforms within two weeks, before the Knesset takes the Passover break.


Hints Of An Impending Putsch

Other moves that would lead to a “dictatorship” involve simple things, like Netanyahu appointing the head of the Bureau of Statistics. According to observers, this would put the facts that were released to the public in the hands of the Prime Minister. Also, choosing the head of the new National Library, who now is a former state prosecutor who put Bibi on trial, and who Netanyahu wants to oust. “A putsch by any other name is still a putsch,” said one pundit.


Today, anyone who opposes the present government and the Judicial Reforms is labeled an ‘Anarchist.’ Observers say this is a new word that replaced the epithet “Leftists.” Couple this with the statements by the Chief of Staff of the Israeli Army, Herzi Halevi, who recently said he prefers “Dictatorship to anarchy.” Reservists who have stated they would refuse to serve should the reforms pass fall into this category of ‘Anarchist.’ 

Speaking at a rally on Saturday night in Tel Aviv, while an estimated 500,000 people demonstrated around the country, former Justice Minister Tsipi Livni addressed the crowd with this opening statement. “Hello fellow Anarchists.”

 


Israel’s Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara


The Attorney General Pushes Back

Gilad Peled, a reserve general in the air force who was suspended and Amichai Eshed, the top Tel Aviv cop who was fired by Police Chief Shabtai at National Security Minister Itamar  Ben Gvir’s insistence were both reinstated. The latter when it became clear he was innocent of the charges of leading a reserve pilot’s revolt. The former by order of the Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara after being fired illegally by Ben Gvir,.


On Tuesday, March 14th, at the dedication of a new police station in the Negev region, Police Commissioner Shabtai told the audience, that included Ben Gvir, that “Without legitimacy from the public we have no right to exist as a police force.” 


Also on Tuesday, police summoned Knesset Member Zvika Fogel, one of Ben Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Strength) party members, to investigate if he incited terrorism when he verbally backed extremist settlers who torched Palestinian homes and cars in the West Bank town of Howard. This followed the murder of brothers Hallel and Yagel Yaniv as they drove through the town. Ben Gvir called the move part of the continuing harassment of his party and the right by the Attorney General.



What To Expect

One analyst said that should the reforms become law, one of those on the list to be replaced would be the Attorney General. Should the new laws pass then Ben Gvir would have his way with the police. Any illegality he commits, and he has been arrested numerous times for disturbing the peace and has a record so radical that he was bared from enlisting in the Israeli Army, would be made legal. The same holds true for anyone in the present government, or anyone the present government favors. Since they hold the slim majority in the Knesset, they could pass any override law to obviate any court decision. 


Similarly, any illegal outpost put up in the West Bank would immediately be legalized. There are also moves by Ben Gvir to enact the death penalty for terrorists. The ultra-nationalists now have control, with Netanyahu’s permission, to enact all sorts of laws they’ve long wanted. 


Speaking in New York, Finance Minister Smotrich predicted a compromise on the overhaul that he said the ‘mainstream’ would accept. He told Citibank executives that the “noise” over the overhaul would “settle down.” Observers think the statements were possible but not probable.


Right Or Left?

One of the common responses to those protesting Judicial Reforms is that the “Leftists” have had control of the country long enough. Starting with former High Court Chief Justice Aaron Barak who the “Right” accuse of a revolution in the courts. The reforms, they say, will allow the “Right” to take over from the “Left.” One person interviewed said “The left lost the election. Get used to it. Tough luck.”


Many of those who support the Judicial Reforms point to the Israeli withdrawal of the Gaza Strip settlements. “It was the Leftists who did that,” said the interviewee. When it was pointed out that in fact former Gen. Ariel Sharon, always a staunch Likud supporter until he broke off to start his own right-wing party, was in charge of the withdrawal. “That’s because he became a Leftist,” said the interviewee.

Israel’s President Isaac Herzog has come out in favor of immediate and in-depth negotiations about the Judicial Reforms  that he said was necessary because “the situation is very difficult and worrying.” He also said that the legislation should be abandoned  before the country falls into an abyss. Critics of Herzog’s speech called him a “Leftist.”


Backing The Unknown

One observer said that the a basic problem with these reforms is that they are not thoroughly understood by those supporting them.”Few people really understand how the High Court works,” said the observer.” The observer added, “If a coalition with a slim majority in the Knesset approves a bill that means, in reality, that the head of the ruling party controls which laws are passed or not. In the present case that is Netanyahu. 


But, points out the observer, what happens if it is not Netanyahu, but someone far worse, like the ultra-nationalist Ben Gvir, or ultra-nationalist Finance Minister Smotrich, or even current Justice Minister Levine, who has been as obdurate as an iron curtain in his refusal to hesitate for even a mili-second in rushing the reforms into law. These current reforms could find not a dictator who may or may not be moderate but one who is malevolent to the core. History abounds with such examples.


Locke Or Hobbes

“It reminds me of the strife between Locke and Hobbs,” said one scholar.  “He came up with his philosophy after the overthrow of King James II in the ‘Glorious Revolution of 1688.’


According to a paper in the University of Tennessee Chattanooga, “John Locke showed how governments and people should behave. He developed a philosophy that emphasized three points:


According to Locke, the natural condition of mankind is a “state of nature” characterized by human freedom and equality. Locke’s “law of nature”—the obligation that created beings have to obey their creator—constitutes the foundation of the “state of nature.” However, because some people violate this law, governments are needed.

People voluntarily give government some of their power through a “social contract” in order to protect their “natural rights” of life, liberty, and property. 


If a government fails to protect the natural rights of its citizens or if it breaks the social contract, the people are entitled to rebel against the government and create a new one.


As Thomas Hobbes wrote,“The ideal form that government should take is an absolute monarchy that has maximum authority, subverting mankind’s natural state (one of war of one man against another, as man is selfish and brutish) and creating societal order in the process.”


The scholar pointed out that Netanyahu apparently favors Hobbes over Locke.




Medicine

Israeli scientists have developed the world’s anti-bacteria mRNA vaccine. A team lead by Prof. Dan Peer, VP for R&D and head of the Laboratory of Precision Nano-Medicine at the Shmunis School of Biomedicine and Cancer Research at TAU, has synthesized in a lab a vaccine that adhere to human cells leading to the production of viral proteins. 


According to a paper published in Science Advances, the human immune system becomes familiar with these proteins and learns to protect the body in the event of exposure to the real virus. The team of Israeli scientists developed methods to combine two breakthrough strategies that circumvents this protection to obtain a full immune response. 


Tourism.

According to YnetNews, Jerusalem has introduced two-hour guided double-decker bus tours that will pass through the Western Wall and the Old City as well as other landmarks.